Thursday, March 27, 2014

Sweet 16 Preview

Let's get into it quickly as I have hoops practice in 30 minutes!

Game 1 today is the Cinderella match-up, guaranteeing a double digit seed in the Elite 8 for just the 14th time in March Madness since 1985!  Basically it happens just about every other year, though certainly sounds better as previously written.  In terms of the Hopski, 41st place Sparty On! from Richard Rykhus is the only entry with Dayton and 65th place The Polar Vortex, from ex-Warsaw expat Bill Lyon is the only entry with Stanford.  The Polar Vortex could use this one to stay on the 2nd page but Sparty On! still has a shot at Hopski Champion, so a big one for Richard!

Game 2 tips off 30 minutes later and it should be a good one, Baylor vs Wisconsin.  14 entries have Baylor winning and 81 have Wisconsin - so a LOT to gain for those backing the underdog, including 4 dawg bonus points IF you picked both teams into this game.  I gotta support the Big 10 and indeed expect a Badger victory.

Florida is our "pool pick" for champion, leading the way with 57 entries having tabbed the Gators to win it all.  A Bruin upset here would boost greatly the chances of the 8 having picked UCLA, but this is just not gonna happen, in fact, I expect a double digit win by the Gators.

The lat game of the night pits another pool favorite, Arizona (picked by 19 entries to take the title) against San Diego State.  A whopping 119 have Arizona picked in this game, with 20 picking SD State.  I am not expecting an upset in this one either.

In terms of the unpaid - we are down to 5 entries and 3 families!  The Fazios are still waiting to hedge something, while Larry Corrigan and Darin Townsend just flat out have no excuse but to pay the fiddler!

A historical stats review puts the 2014 1st and 2nd rounds as above average in terms of correct picks and WAY above average in terms of Dawg Bonus Points!!  This year's Hopski may break the all-time average of 136 set back in 2001 at this pace (and presuming Genty actually picks a winning underdog at some point!).


Presuming the final unpaid entries pay up - the Prize Pool looks like this:

155 entries @ $25 per, less last year's free best name and toilet bowl ($50), less software ($39), less paypal fees for non-personal payments ($15) = $3,771.

1st Place:  60% - $2,262.60
2nd Place:  25% - $942.75
3rd Place:  10% - $377.1
2nd Chance Dance:  5% - $188.50

Good Luck!!


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